Janet Devlin may be the favourite in the X Factor odds to win the show, but this does not mean that she is the best bet to be the first act voted through to the final 11.
One thing that should be remembered as we are often reminded by host Dermot O’Leary is that the X Factor acts to be sent through to the following week are announced in ‘no particular order’.
It is typically the case that the favourite is usually made aware of their safety relatively early when the votes are announced, but not normally first.
Therefore, although Janet is likely to be one of the first handful of acts to be announced safe, taking the 5/1 that her name is first to be called out may be slightly poor value.
With many shrewd viewers believing it will be two from Nu-Vibe, Kitty Brucknell, Rhythmix and Sami Brookes that will enter the sing-off, it makes sense to avoid these four acts when trying to predict the first act to be progress.
This leaves seven acts and the value bet certainly seems to be Jonny Robinson at 9/1.
Mentor Louis Walsh cannot seem to avoid turning one of his acts into joke performers each season and with Goldie Cheung opting to leave the competition, it now seems that Jonny has taken over this mantle.
Another outrageously bad outfit can be expected again, while there is a strong possibility that at least one of the other three judges will have something critical to say.
However, with the X Factor audience being particularly noisy after his first performance, he clearly has a vast amount of likeability.
Of the other acts, Craig Colton is another likely to be made safe early and could be a decent bet at 8/1, alongside The Risk at 7/1.