Novak Djokovic, Wimbledon betting tips
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Wimbledon betting tips: History beckons for Djokovic

| 05.07.2021

Wimbledon betting tips and preview

History beckons for Novak Djokovic on Sunday when the world number one hopes to secure a record-equalling 20th grand slam title in the men’s Wimbledon final against seventh seed Matteo Berrettini.

The top seed is just 1/5 to win a third consecutive Wimbledon title but standing in his way is Berrettini, one of the biggest servers on the planet and appearing in his first grand slam final.

We have Wimbledon betting tips from the last day of the championships which promises to be a hard-hitting battle at the All England Club.

Novak Djokovic v Matteo Berrettini

Djokovic has yet to hit top gear over the fortnight but has still only dropped one set and is one win away from tying Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal’s record in addition to completing three quarters of a calendar Grand Slam.

The world number one, seeking a sixth Wimbledon title, has been boosted from 6/5 to 11/8 win in straight sets as he has done in the last five rounds but he had to show nerves of steel to come through a semi-final battle with Denis Shapovalov, who was the better player for the first two sets but went down 7-6 7-5 7-5 on Centre Court.

The left-handed Canadian broke Djokovic in the third game of the match and won 15 points in a row on serve until the key moment came at 5-4.

He recovered well from 0-30 to 30-30 but missed a forehand into an open court and with it the chance of gaining a foothold in the match.

Effectively, too many errors proved costly for Shapovalov but that performance will have provided encouragement for Berrettini, who made it an excellent sporting double for Italy with a 6-3 6-0 6-7 6-4 victory against Hubert Hurkacz.

The 25-year-old from Rome has lost both previous battles with Djokovic, taking just three games at the 2019 ATP Finals although this year’s French Open quarter-final went to four sets.

Djokovic to win 3-1 once more is available at 5/2 while a four-set final can be backed at 17/10.

Grass certainly seems to suit Berrettini’s game and he faces Djokovic on the back of an 11-match winning streak on the surface having won the title at Queen’s in the build-up to Wimbledon.

Berrettini’s booming serve has proved his most effective weapon over the two weeks and like Djokovic he has been broken just five times in his six rounds, three of which came against quarter-final opponent Felix Auger-Aliassime.

Matteo Berrettini, Wimbledon betting tips

With that in mind we go 21/10 on a first-set tie-break which occurred in Djokovic’s semi-final or 9/2 on the 34-year-old Serb taking it 7-6 and winning the match.

On the flip side Berrettini has taken the first set either 6-3 or 6-4 in all six matches and that option has been boosted from 7/2 to 9/2 in our Wimbledon betting tips.

View the latest Wimbledon odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication

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Author

Warren Barner