It will be the match of the tournament when the two in-form stars of men’s tennis meet in the Australian Open semi-final tonight.
The question on everyone’s lips is can Novak Djokovic stop Roger Federer making it four finals in a row and according to the betting market, the answer is no.
Despite Djokovich’s seriously impressive demolition of Tomas Berdych in the quarter-final, Federer is as short as 4/9 to beat Djokovich and it may have something to do with the fact the world number two leads the world number three 13-6 in head-to-head encounters.
But when you look at their head-to-head record in Grand Slams, Djokovic has two wins to Federer’s four, and one of they both share one win apiece at the Australian Open.
The Serb is a big price at 13/8 to beat Federer and having won four of his 13 winning sets by a 6-1 scoreline, and two by a 6-0 scoreline, Djokovic is most definitely in his best form.
10 semi-finals have been contested by Federer and Djokovic and the Serb has a 40% success rate in reaching the final.
Undoubtedly Federer is back to his imperious best, but Djokovic is playing the finest tennis of his career and he can shade this one and is 6/1 to beat Federer 3-2.
Surprisingly, only six tie breaks have been played out over the 19 matches, and the 1/1 for there to be no tie break in the match offers plenty of value, especially considering the 12th game has seen the serve broken on 11 occasions.
In last year’s US Open, Federer took the first set before Djokovic eventually won the match 3-2 and the 11/2 for Djokovic to lose the first set but win the match is enticing, as is the 12/5 for there to be exactly five sets.
A £25 stake on Federer winning the first set 7-5 would return £375. New customers can sign up here for a free bet worth £25.