David Ferrer and Robin Soderling have plenty of previous, the two have met twelve times previously including five times this year.
But the most influential result could be the meeting between the two in Valencia at the start of November in which Ferrer beat Soderling in three sets.
Ferrer is the outsider of the ATP World Finals, his tournament winning odds of 80/1 suggest he has no hope, and the betting market doesn’t give him much of a chance against Soderling, pricing him at 13/8 to beat the Swede.
But Ferrer will enter the match in confident mood after defeating his opponent just a few days ago, and a 2-1 win for Ferrer is priced at 7/2.
Both players must win to stand any chance of progressing to the knock-out stages of the tournament after losing their opening match, but it will be Ferrer who will feel he has the best chance of progressing as he has already played Federer.
Soderling would have to beat both Ferrer and Federer to stand a chance of qualifying, and the Swede’s temperament may be called into question tonight with his hopes of progressing all but over.
Of the twelve matches the two have competed in, Soderling leads with eight wins to four but Ferrer has two wins over his opponent in the last six weeks.
Seven of the twelve ties have seen the loser pick up a set, but Ferrer has only come back from a set down once in his four wins, suggesting the Spaniard will need to win the first set to defeat Soderling.
Ferrer is 5/4 to win the first set and 5/2 to win the first set and win the match.
With three sets expected, the 10/11 available for over 22.5 games seems the value in the market.
The 80/1 for Ferrer to win the ATP finals will be cut drastically if he beats Soderling. See the full R Soderling vs D Ferrer betting odds here.