Novak Djokovic submitted the world number one to a straight sets defeat in this tournament last year, and the Serb is 9/4 to subject Rafael Nadal to another 2-0 defeat in what could be the match of the tournament.
Nadal’s lack of tennis and shoulder troubles are the reason we’re not talking about the world number one disposing of the world number three, and Nadal’s performance against Andy Roddick suggests the two players shouldn’t be sharing 5/6 favouritism.
Djokovic easily disposed of an out of sorts Tomas Berdych in his opening game and could argue he deserves favouritism, but the Serb did lose his only tie with Nadal this year in the US Open.
However in 2009, Djokovic won all three hard court matches between the two 2-0, although Nadal did win on the four occasions they met on clay, and the betting market is struggling to split both players.
At 5/6 to beat Nadal, Ladbrokes are offering great value for Djokovic to win compared to the general 4/5 elsewhere, and punters should take advantage of this.
Nadal had to come through a tough three-set match with Roddick in his first match after six weeks without playing, and Djokovic’s freshness and fitness will be the contributing factors to the Serb winning.
Djokovic’s seven hard court wins over Nadal have been in straight sets and the Serb is 6/4 to win the first set and win the match.
In 22 ties between the two, only six sets have been dropped by the eventual winner and only six sets have gone to a tiebreak.
Under 23.5 games looks the value in the market and is available at 5/6 and you can get 4/6 that there won’t be a tiebreak in the match.
A £10 stake on Djokovic winning the first set 7-5 would return £150. New customers can sign up here for a free £10 bet.