The stakes could hardly be higher for Inverness Caledonian Thistle as they head to Motherwell on Saturday.
Win, and they climb to within a point of the Well. Lose, and they’re almost certain to suffer relegation to the Ladbrokes Championship.
But despite their precarious position and current struggle for form, we’re backing the visitors to take all three points at Fir Park. That’s because…
Their record at Motherwell is sensational
The 344-mile round trip to Fir Park may be a long one for fans of the Caley Jags, but it’s almost always a very rewarding one.
Inverness have enjoyed victory on four of their last five visits to North Lanarkshire, including a 3-0 rout of the Steelmen back in October. In those meetings, they’ve scored 10 times and conceded just four.
Oh, and they don’t need to head into this fixture in fine fettle to win it. October’s victory was Inverness’ only win in a 17-game streak which lasted over four months. They’re actually in much better form than that right now. But as for the Well…
Well are dismal on their own patch
Look away before we throw this stat out there, Motherwell fans. Your side have taken just two points from the last eight home games. But of course, that’s great news for Inverness.
The Steelmen have shipped 19 goals in that time, registering just six goals in the process. With the Highlanders having taken points off the likes of Heart of Midlothian and Partick Thistle in recent weeks, there’s every chance they’ll pick up three more here.
McKay can produce a bit of magic
Goals have been a fairly scarce commodity at Inverness at times this season, but their attacking threat has been boosted by the return of fan favourite Billy McKay – and he’s popped up with some absolutely crucial contributions so far.
As well as netting a last-gasp winner against Rangers at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, the 28-year-old also scored vital goals in the draws with Dundee and Kilmarnock.
Having also shown his team qualities with a vital assist in that 2-2 draw with the Dee, we reckon he could be the man to make the difference at Fir Park on Saturday.
In the match betting, Inverness CT are 19/10 for victory, with Motherwell priced up at 7/5 and 23/10 on offer for the draw.
Meanwhile, the Well’s goal drought at home means the 4/1 for the Highlanders to win to nil looks like an excellent shout.
And will McKay be the man to make the difference once again? He’s 2/1 to net at any time, while 11/2 says he opens the scoring.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing