Despite being favourite to land the top prize at the forthcoming Academy Awards 12 Years a Slave could well end up missing out after scooping the top gong at the recent Golden Globes.
The Steve McQueen-directed tale of a free man sold in to slavery was named Best Motion Picture – Drama ahead of Captain Phillips, Gravity, Philomena and Rush at the recent bash but history suggests this could put paid to any chances of Oscars glory.
12 Years a Slave remains the 1/4 favourite to land the Best Film award but those tempted to back what looks like a dead cert should consider that just four of the last 13 winners of the Globes’ best drama category have gone on to scoop the biggest prize in film.
Argo achieved the double last year, following in the footsteps of Slumdog Millionaire, Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King and Gladiator as the only movies to achieve the feat since 2000.
Similarly, success at the Globes could prove a curse for the David O. Russell-directed American Hustle, which was awarded the Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy prize at this year’s Globes.
Just two of the last 13 winners of this trophy – The Artist in 2011 and Chicago in 2002 – have turned such triumph into Oscars success, something which could tempt many to overlook the film starring Christian Bale, Bradley Cooper and Jennifer Lawrence at odds of 7/2 for Oscars glory.
As such, third favourite Gravity should be considered at the tempting price of 7/1 to be named Best Film if the curse of the Golden Globes is to continue.
And while the Golden Globes has rarely proven a great indicator for the Best Film Oscar the two bodies have often been in agreement over Best Actor, with nine of the last 13 Best Actor Academy Awards going to men who picked up a Globe en route.
This could spell more heartache for 12 Years a Slave and its British star Chiwetel Ejiofor who was overlooked at the Globes in favour of Matthew McConaughey for Dallas Buyer’s Club.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.
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