Spain v Poland betting tips: Strikers must improve in Group E clash
Both teams were favourites to win their opening Group E games but picked up just a point between them.
Spain had an incredible 85% possession against Sweden but could only draw 0-0 while Poland were beaten 2-1 by minnows Slovakia and are now 11/4 to reach the knockout stage.
Defeat for either team would leave them sweating about their prospects of making it to the last 16, so let’s highlight some of the odds and markets in our Spain v Poland betting tips.
Alvaro Morata was the chief culprit on Monday night when he missed a couple of gilt-edged chances to get Spain off to a winning start but a youthful team failed to break down the rugged Swedes.
Spain, unbeaten in their previous nine games, are the 4/11 favourites to beat Poland in their first competitive fixture for 62 years, although they have won six of the last seven friendlies – the last coming in 2010 when La Roja ran out 6-0 winners.
Poland have won just one of their last eight games – a 3-0 victory against Andorra – and six of their previous seven have produced goals at both ends which is available at 21/20 while over 2.5 goals can be backed at 8/11.
Luis Enrique’s side have kept clean sheets in their last three matches, two of which came against Portugal and Sweden, and they are 11/10 to win to nil or 17/20 not to concede.
However, Poland’s matches have tended to produce goals at both ends recently and they cannot afford to be as defensive as Sweden, so we go 9/4 on Spain to win and both teams to score while a draw in that market is 5/1.
Enrique went with a 4-3-3 formation and Spain had 17 shots against the Swedes’ four, so it’s clear where La Roja’s problems lie.
The clamour will grow for Gerard Moreno to start ahead of Morata, although the Spain coach stated that the Atletico Madrid striker had “a great game” against Sweden.
Poland skipper Robert Lewandowski was unhappy with the service he received during the Slovakia defeat so coach Paulo Sousa will have to work on that area, although he will be without suspended midfielder Grzegorz Krychowiak after he was sent off in the same game.
Morata may have spurned two decent opportunities but he is the 3/1 favourite to break the deadlock and 13/10 to score while Moreno is 16/5 and 7/5 in the same markets.
The Villarreal striker came on 16 minutes from time and forced Robin Olsen into making a save with a neat header late on.
Lewandowski has scored 66 goals in 120 appearances for Poland and is 5/1 to get the ball rolling and 11/5 to net any time while midfielder Karol Linetty is 20/1 to go back-to-back or 50/1 to land the first blow.
Where: La Cartuja Stadium Stadium, Seville
When: 20:00, Saturday 19th June
How to watch: BBC 1
All odds and markets correct as of date of publication