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Premier League top-half odds: Stronger Villa odds against for top-10 finish

| 18.07.2021

Premier League top-half odds and preview

The Premier League season gets under way on August 13 with a Friday night clash between Brentford and Arsenal and we are looking at some of the markets and odds for the new campaign.

We have already previewed potential title winners, the top four and six, plus relegation candidates but we’re next examining the Premier League top-half odds for those teams hoping to finish 10th or higher this season.

Aston Villa went closest last season to a top-half finish when they ended the campaign in 11th and they are 11/10 to go one better.

Aston Villa

Villa were in fifth place at the end of 2020 following a 1-1 draw with Chelsea and were just six points off the top four in eighth after a 1-0 win at Leeds in February but they won just two of their next 12 games to slip out of contention for European places.

Dean Smith’s exciting side, boosted by the capture of winger Emi Buendia from Norwich and former Manchester United and Inter Milan defender Ashley Young, concluded the season with wins against Tottenham and eventual Champions League winners Chelsea to end the campaign in 11th, four points behind 10th-placed Everton.


The Seagulls would have finished fifth in the table according to expected goals data had they made the most of their chances but instead they came fifth from bottom.

Graham Potter oversaw wins against Leeds and Manchester City in the closing stages of the campaign and with new £20million signing Enok Mwepu boosting his midfield, Brighton can challenge for the top 10 at 13/8 with one or two more additions, especially up front.


Wolves were 13th last season and parted company with Nuno Espirito Santo at the end of the campaign, with fellow Portuguese Bruno Lage replacing him in June, so we make them 15/8 in the Premier League top-half odds.

The club lost star striker Raul Jimenez to an horrific head injury in November when he fractured his skull but the Mexican striker has returned to full training.

As long as his confidence has not been shattered, he could lead Wolves to 10th or better as they did in their first two seasons in the Premier League, although the expected loss of goalkeeper Rui Patricio to Roma is a big blow.


Saints topped the table in November for the first time in the club’s history but had a terrible second half of the season to finish in 15th place, yet they have the squad to go higher – although hanging on to Danny Ings will be high on Ralph Hasenhuttl’s list of priorities.

Ings scored 30% of Southampton’s goals during the 2020/21 campaign and with players like James Ward-Prowse, Jannik Vestergaard, Stuart Armstrong, Theo Walcott and Che Adams, they look interesting at 5/2 in the Premier League top-half odds.

Best of the rest

A long injury list and tightened purse strings meant Burnley got off to a slow start last season but the club’s new American owners have already shown their willingness to strengthen with the £12million capture of Stoke centre-back Nathan Collins.

Keeping the likes of Nick Pope, James Tarkowksi, Ben Mee, Dwight McNeil and Chris Wood will be crucial to the Clarets’ hopes of ending the campaign in the top 10 which is 9/2 in the Premier League top-half odds, the same price as Newcastle who finished the season strongly with 17 points from a possible 27.

Norwich replaced Buendia with Kosovo winger Milot Rashica for £9m from Werder Bremen and brought in Scotland midfielder Billy Gilmour on a season-long loan from Chelsea.

They look interesting at 9/1 in the Premier League top-half odds so long as they bring in a few more quality players to avoid the fate that befell them two seasons ago.

View the latest Premier League top-half odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication



Warren Barner