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Turkey v Italy betting tips: Azzurri have tough opener

| 01.06.2021

Italy enter Euro 2020 somewhat under the radar but are enjoying a resurgence following years of struggle.

Roberto Mancini’s side boasted one of only two flawless qualifying records and have backed it up by reaching the semi-finals of the Nations League. They are unbeaten in 27 matches, closing on their record of 30 set in the 1930s.

All this comes after they failed to qualify for the 2018 World Cup for the first time since 1958. They will be confident of contending towards the latter stages of the tournament but are only seventh favourites to win Euro 2020 at 9/1.

Here we take a look at the markets in the opening game of Euro 2020 to help with your Turkey v Italy betting tips.

Match Odds

Turkey could present a major challenge for Italy, depending on which team turns up in Rome.

Senol Gunes’ side were very impressive in qualifying, conceding just three goals in 10 matches, but they finished bottom of their Nations League group.

With a win and a draw against world champions France in reaching the finals and a 4-2 win over Holland in March, Turkey have proved their ability to match the big names and are 6/1 to secure a first ever win against Italy, who are 8/15 to get off to a winning start.

Both sides have built their recent success on strong defence, with just seven goals conceded between them in qualifying. It could therefore be a tight contest, with an Italy win and under 2.5 goals available at 21/10.

Talking Tactics

Mancini’s main conundrum remains up front. Italy boasted 19 different goalscorers during qualifying, which masked the fact that their top scorer Andrea Belotti only netted three.

Lazio’s Ciro Immobile is one of Europe’s most prolific scorers at club level, with another 25 goals this season, but he has never really replicated that form on the international stage.

Mancini has rebuilt Italy with a crop of promising young players, switching between a 3-5-2 and 4-3-3 to bring the best out of the likes of Lorenzo Pellegrini of Roma and Inter Milan duo Nicolo Barella and Alessandro Bastoni.

Turkey’s defensive unit is built around Premier League players Caglar Soyuncu and Ozan Kabak, while three of Lille’s Ligue 1 title-winning side – Zeli Celik, Yusuf Yazici and 35-year-old Burak Yilmaz – form the spine of their team.

Goalscorer Odds

Federico Chiesa has been a shining light in a struggling Juventus side this season, contributing eight goals and eight assists, and the 23-year-old striker is 9/2 to get Italy’s first goal or 14/5 to score any time.

Immobile may well get the nod over Belotti to lead the line and is 16/1 to win the golden boot, 3/1 to draw first blood against Turkey or 6/4 just to find the net.

Besiktas’ on-loan Everton striker Cenk Tosun top-scored in qualifying for Turkey with five goals but he is ruled out of the tournament through injury. The goalscoring onus falls to veteran Yilmaz, fresh from scoring 16 goals for Ligue 1 champions Lille having bagged a hat-trick against the Dutch in a World Cup qualifier. Yilmaz is 8/1 to bag the tournament’s first goal or 4/1 to score.

Italy will also be wary of a familiar face. AC Milan’s mercurial playmaker Hakan Calhanoglu has had a fine Serie A season, with 13 goal contributions, and also produced two goals and three assists in Turkey’s three recent World Cup qualifiers. He is 14/1 and 13/2 in the two markets.

Match Info

Where: Stadio Olimpico, Rome

When: 20:00, Friday 11th June

How to watch: BBC 1

View the latest Turkey v Italy odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication

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Author

Warren Barner