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Italy v Spain betting tips: Azzurri favoured to avenge 2012 final defeat

| 01.07.2021

Italy v Spain betting tips

Italy and Spain clash in the last four of Euro 2020 on Tuesday night in a repeat of the 2012 final.

Then, Vicente del Bosque’s incredible team ran out 4-0 winners in the most one-sided final in European Championship history but the Italians are 29/20 favourites to pull through inside 90 minutes at Wembley.

It promises to be a thrilling semi-final so let’s examine some of the markets and odds in our Italy v Spain betting tips.

Match Odds

Roberto Mancini’s side reached the last four after winning all three of their group games, scoring seven goals without conceding, followed by a 2-1 extra-time victory against Austria in the last 16 and a win by the same scoreline in a quarter-final thriller against Belgium.

Italy, 2/1 in the Euro 2020 winner odds, have now won their last 13 matches as part of a national record 32-game unbeaten run so they are understandably favourites.

Three of Italy’s five matches at Euro 2020 have produced at least three goals and they are 13/4 to win by that method once again.

Cesar Azpilicueta Spain

The Azzurri have also been ahead by a one-goal margin at the break three times during the course of the tournament and that option is available at 29/10 but Spain have a good recent record against the Italians, winning four and drawing three of their eight matches in the last nine years.

The 2008 and 2012 champions are 21/10 to win in normal time or 21/20 just to qualify for the final while a draw is 21/10.

Three of the last nine meetings have ended 1-1 which can be backed at 19/4, bearing in mind Spain needed extra time and penalties to get past Croatia and Switzerland respectively.

Italy to win in extra time is 10/1 and it’s the same price on Spain to prevail in a penalty shoot-out.

Talking Tactics

Mancini has consistently deployed a 4-3-3 formation throughout the tournament but he will be without key left-back Leonardo Spinazzola, who ruptured his Achilles in the win against Belgium, so Emerson looks likely to start.

Luis Enrique has favoured the same system and in the last two games Alvaro Morata has been supported by Ferran Torres and Pablo Sarabia up front, but the latter is out with a muscle strain so Gerard Moreno is likey to start.

Jordi Alba and Pau Torres replaced Eric Garcia and Jose Gaya in defence for the Switzerland game but Enrique may decide to change things around again after a mix-up at the back cost them an equaliser.

Goalscorer Odds

Morata and Torres both have two goals for Spain and are 9/2 and 13/2 to break the deadlock or 5/2 and 10/3 to get on the scoresheet in the Italy v Spain betting tips.

Jordi Alba scored in a 3-0 win against Italy in their last meeting, a World Cup qualifier in 2017, and he was unlucky to have Spain’s opening goal against Switzerland credited as an own goal. The roaming left-back is available at 25/1 to get the ball rolling or 12/1 to score.

Ciro Immobile and Lorenzo Insigne have two goals to their name and can be backed at 4/1 and 13/2 to draw first blood respectively or 21/10 and 10/3 to find the net while Nicolo Barella is 10/1 to open the scoring again as he did against Belgium or 5/1 in the anytime market.

Match Info

Where: Wembley Stadium

When: 20:00, Tuesday 6th July

How to watch: BBC 1

View the latest European Championship odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication



Warren Barner