Harry Kane, Harry Maguire, Italy v England betting tips
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Italy v England betting tips: Three Lions on cusp of European glory

| 06.07.2021

Italy v England betting tips

The Three Lions reached their first European Championship final with an extra-time victory against Denmark on Wednesday night and you can check our England player ratings here.

Not since 1966 have England been one game away from winning a major tournament and once again they will have a vocal crowd on their side with the final being staged at Wembley.

Italy were under the cosh for much of their clash with Spain but they booked their place in Sunday’s final with a penalty shoot-out win on Tuesday night.

Gareth Southgate’s side are 13/8 favourites to win on Sunday, with the Azzurri priced at 15/8 as we examine some of the odds and markets in our Italy v England betting tips.

Match Odds

The scene is set for England’s biggest match in 55 years and if recent encounters are anything to go by it promises to be a close encounter against an Italian team that have had an extra day’s rest.

Five of the players that were involved in Wednesday’s win against Denmark were in the side that drew 1-1 with Italy in a friendly at Wembley in 2018 and three years earlier it was the same scoreline in Turin where Harry Kane and Jordan Henderson were in the starting line-up.

Italy have been taken to extra time in two of their knockout games and another draw over 90 minutes is priced at 2/1 while a 1-1 draw is 9/2.

Harry Maguie, England, Italy v England betting tips

Matteo Pessina’s 115th-minute winner secured Italy a 2-1 victory over Austria in the round of 16 and penalties were required to see off Spain in the quarter-finals, so we go 12/1 and 9/1 to win in those respective markets while it’s 9/1 on both outcomes for England.

However, England have not beaten Italy in a competitive match since a 2-0 win in qualifying for the 1978 World Cup, a run of six games which included a quarter-final exit at Euro 2012 and a 2-1 defeat in the group stage of the 2014 World Cup.

Five of those matches produced two goals or fewer which can be backed at 1/2, with a win for Italy and under 2.5 or 3.5 match goals is 23/10 and 15/4 while the Three Lions are 2/1 and 10/3 in the equivalent markets.

Italy’s knockout-stage wins against Belgium and Spain produced goals at both ends, so both teams to score is priced at 21/20.

Talking Tactics

Southgate went with a three-man defence against Germany but reverted to his tried and trusted 4-2-3-1 for the wins against Ukraine and Denmark.

Bukayo Saka came in for Jadon Sancho on Wednesday but the four-man defence of Harry Maguire, John Stones, Luke Shaw and Kyle Walker looks locked in, as does the holding midfield pairing of Kalvin Phillips and Declan Rice.

Laporte, Immobile, Alba, Italy, Spain

Jack Grealish got another cameo role from off the bench against the Danes but came off in extra time once England had taken the lead as Southgate went for a back five.

Italy were fortunate to beat a wasteful Spain team and were running on empty by the time the referee blew the whistle for penalties.

Federico Chiesa once against started up front with Ciro Immobile and Lorenzo Insigne, with Emerson replacing the injured Leonardo Spinazzola at left-back.

Goalscorer Odds

Chiesa scored his second goal in three games and is 9/1 to break the deadlock as he did against Spain or 9/2 to get on the scoresheet against a team that have conceded just once in their six games.

Insigne and Immobile are 7/1 and 9/2 to draw first blood or 7/2 and 5/2 in the anytime goalscorer market having bagged twice at Euro 2020 like Chiesa.

Kane is on a roll and one more goal will see him share the Golden Boot with Cristiano Ronaldo and Patrik Schick.

The England skipper is 10/3 to bag the opening goal or 17/10 to find the net while Sterling is 6/1 and 3/1 in the same markets.

Maguire was denied a second goal of the tournament by a superb Kasper Schmeichel save and the centre-back is 25/1 to get the ball rolling and 12/1 to score.

Match Info

Where: Wembley Stadium

When: 20:00, Sunday 11th July

How to watch: BBC 1 and ITV

View the latest European Championship odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication

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Author

Warren Barner