England’s disappointing draw with Montenegro has led to the odds on them topping Group G to be lengthened from 1/8 to 2/9.
The Brave Falcons meanwhile will be delighted with a point and have had their odds cut to 6/1 to top Group G.
It looks to be a two horse race between England and Montenegro, with Bulgaria and Switzerland both stuck on three points from three games.
Neither side has much hope of going through and that’s reflected in Switzerland’s odds of 10/1 and Bulgaria’s at 14/1.
Wales, who’ve yet to pick up a point, are rank outsiders at 1000/1 to make it through.
Although qualifying now takes a break until next spring, England’s group looks like it will come down to just one game.
Assuming Wales don’t spring any surprises when England make the trip to Cardiff in March, England’s fate looks likely to rest on their trip to Montenegro next October in what will be their last game of the group stage.
Although, potentially more decisive could be the round of games on Thursday 1st September 2011, when England travel to Sofia to face Bulgaria and Montenegro go to Cardiff.
On current form neither side should have much to fear from those trips, but Wales will have a settled new manager then and the atmosphere in Cardiff City stadium will be tasty.
Bulgaria, until they played host to Montenegro last month, hadn’t lost at home in three years, so there’s no reason to think that England will have any easy time in that game.
England are still among the favourites to win Euro 2012, with odds of 8/1 availabe for them to take home the trophy.
Only the holders Spain at 7/2, Germany at 9/2, and Holland at 7/1 are ranked higher.
Montenegro’s good performance in the group stage doesn’t seem to have convinced anyone that they’ve got what it takes to win it, with their odds at 250/1, that’s below Scotland who are 200/1.
England are 2/9 to win Group G. Follow the full European 2012 qualifying betting odds market here.