Valladolid v Real Sociedad: Visitors’ away form suggests home win

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Both Valladolid and Real Sociedad are in need of a win here after poor runs have left them perilously close to the La Liga drop-zone.

Home advantage is expected to play a key role as the hosts begin the game slight, odds-against favourites at 23/20; the away form of the side they are set to entertain makes this an exceptional price.

With one win in six, a sequence which has seen them lose four times, Valladolid have failed to build upon the successive victories with which they began the current campaign.

However, they’ll be looking for a fourth win against a Sociedad side who have lost all four of their games on the road this season.

They’ve shipped 10 in this four-game losing streak, but punters shouldn’t be duped into backing a heavy beating for them at the Nuevo Jose Zorrilla.

Half of the away goals they’ve conceded came in a 5-1 loss at Barcelona; the other three defeats have all been by smaller margins. Valladolid, aside from a 6-1 thrashing of Rayo Vallecano, have hardly been prolific at home, which makes under 2.5 goals scored in this one a reasonably safe bet.

If the visitors are to get something from this game, they’ll need the scores to be tied when the interval rolls around. This has been the case in every game that they’ve avoided defeat in this season and the draw at half time/away win at full time can be backed at 13/2 here.

But, given the woeful record that Sociedad possess when it comes to away days, the best bet for this match is the home win with two goals or fewer scored, which is available at a generous 10/3 with Ladbrokes.

All odds and markets accurate as of publication’s time and date

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