Manchester United’s last 16 second leg with Marseille on Tuesday night will not be as straight forward as the Champions League betting suggests.
Marseille’s defence is very sound – they haven’t conceded a goal in their last 512 minutes of Champions League football – and they have only failed to score in seven of their 37 matches this season.
Manchester United are the 1/2 favourites to beat Marseille and considering no French side has beaten Manchester United at Old Trafford – eight defeats and four draws – it’s understandable why Manchester United are short.
But a score draw would be enough for Marseille to qualify, and with Manchester United needing to win to qualify, the 1/4 seems short and all the value is in backing Marseille at 11/4.
A draw in the 90 minutes is available at 3/1 and with both teams boasting strong defences – Man Utd have conceded just one goal in the Champions League – a 0-0 draw is a strong possibility and is priced at 8/1.
Man Utd’s three Champions League games at Old Trafford have produced three goals, and backing under 2.5 goals seems the bet of the day – considering Cheltenham Festival is upon us that’s a pretty big statement – at 8/11.
No Manchester United player has scored more than once in the Champions League this season and on that basis, backing the fit again Luis Antonio Valencia to score the first goal at 8/1 looks a strong bet.
One goal is likely to separate both sides in this tie and Man Utd are 5/1 to win 1-0 while Marseille are a huge 12/1, and with Loic Remy impressing in the first leg, the Frenchman is 10/1 to net the first goal.
It’s going to be a nervy game at Old Trafford and while Man Utd should be expected to progress, of the four ties left Marseille are the most likely to cause the upset.
A £20 stake on Marseille qualifying would return £75. New customers can sign up here for a free bet worth up to £60.