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Argentina v Paraguay betting tips: Los Guaranies can test Messi and co

| 11.06.2021

Argentina have picked up four points from their opening two Group A games and are 8/15 favourites to beat Paraguay in the early hours of Tuesday.

Paraguay overcame Bolivia in their one match so far and are likely to advance to the quarter-finals with four of the five teams in the groups going through.

Lionel Messi’s side are unbeaten in their last 15 matches so let’s take a look at the markets and odds in our Argentina v Paraguay betting tips.

Match Odds

Argentina have the most Copa America titles with nine but they last won the competition 10 years ago and they have a poor recent record against Paraguay, who are priced at 6/1 to win.

Paraguay took four points off Argentina in qualifying for the 2018 World Cup and two years ago they shared a 1-1 draw in the group stage of the Copa America.

In November, the teams drew 1-1 again in qualifying for Qatar, so we go 14/5 on another share of the spoils, 9/2 with goals or 6/1 on a third successive 1-1 draw.

Kaku Paraguay

Argentina may be on close to a two-year unbeaten run but they have never scored more than twice in all nine competitive matches during that spell, with eight of those games producing three goals or fewer.

The Albiceleste are evens to win and under 3.5 goals or 3/1 to win and concede, although four of their previous five victories have involved two goals or fewer.

If you fancy an Argentina win they are 2/1 to win by effectively 1-0 or 2-0 scorelines and those outcomes are priced at 4/1 and 5/1 individually.

Talking Tactics

Argentina have arguably already played their two toughest matches having drawn 1-1 with Chile and beaten Uruguay 1-0 so they have one foot in the quarter-finals with much easier games to come.

Lionel Scaloni deployed a 4-3-3 in both games in which Messi and Nicolas Gonzaelz played either side of Atalanta striker Lautaro Martinez, with Sergio Aguero possibly on the bench again.

Angel Romero scored twice as Paraguay fought back from a half-time deficit to defeat Bolivia 3-1 and he will play on the left of midfield in a 4-2-3-1 formation with Newcastle’s Miguel Almiron in the middle behind main striker Gabriel Avalos.

Goalscorer Odds

Angel Romero is 9/2 to get on the scoresheet again or 50/1 to score an unlikely two or more while Alejandro Romero, who scored the equaliser against Bolivia, is 12/1 to break the deadlock or 5/1 in the anytime market.

Understandably, Argentina’s attackers are much shorter in the goalscorer odds, with Messi 13/5 to get the opener as he did against Chile while Martinez and Aguero are 7/2 and 6/4 to find the net in the two markets.

Guido Rodriguez bagged the only goal against Uruguay and is 28/1 to draw first blood or 11/2 to score.

Match Info

Where: Estadio Nacional Mane Garrincha, Brasilia

When: 01:00, Tuesday 22nd June

How to watch: BBC iPlayer

View the latest Copa America odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication



Warren Barner