Floyd Mayweather may still be waiting to finally step into the ring with Manny Pacquiao, but he seems to have found an equally hard task in challenging Miguel Cotto for his WBA super welterweight title on May 5th.
Many will point that this as a fight that Mayweather should comfortably win, given the fact that Pacquaio annihilated Cotto in 2009 when triumphing in a largely one-sided battle on points.
However, what is worth remembering is that this encounter was fought at a catch weight of 145lb, which may have been too much of an ask for Cotto and virtually relieved him of all his strength.
The battle with Mayweather is scheduled to take place at Cotto’s much preferred super middleweight, where he could weigh as much as 165lb come fight night, as he did when successfully defending his belt in his last showdown with Antonio Margarito.
This would ensure that he holds a significant weight advantage over Mayweather, who has only previously fought at super welterweight once and is unlikely to step into the ring weighing anything more than 154lb.
His only previous fight in this weight class was against Oscar De La Hoya in 2007 and is arguably the toughest he has found to win, needing a split decision to triumph.
Mayweather’s speed will be critical against Cotto’s extra power and it may be a case that the unbeaten challenger will need to follow a similar strategy of utilising his superior hand and foot movement to impress the ringside judges.
The boxing odds have Mayweather at 1/7 to beat Cotto and if he is to extend his unbeaten record to 43 fights, it is 99.9 per cent likely that he will get the job done on points, which can be backed at 1/1.
Cotto will have more of a chance of beating Mayweather than Pacquiao for the aforementioned reasons and is 9/2 to land the biggest victory of his career.