Dereck Chisora firmly believes he has the ability to outwork Vitali Klitschko and listening to the Brit, 8/1 looks amazing value in the boxing odds that that this time next week he will be the new WBC heavyweight champion of the world.
To be fair to Chisora, upsets are part and parcel of boxing, with Lloyd Honeyghan showing in 1986 that Brits are capable of causing a major upset when beating Donald Curry in Atlantic City.
However, a repeat of this from Chisora seems extremely unlikely, even despite his confidence.
Chisora has seemingly gained confidence from his split decision defeat to Robert Helenius in December, but it should be remembered by punters that the Finnish fighter entered the bout with a shoulder complaint and damaged a hand in the early rounds.
Meanwhile, Helenius let the style of fight be dictated by the Brit and Klitschko will not be so forthcoming in allowing Chisora room on the inside.
As is the custom Klitschko way, Vitali is likely to utilise his jab from range and step in to land the big shots when the opportunities arise.
Many boxing fans believe the only way Chisora can win is by landing one big punch that rocks Klitschko, but he insists that his strategy is not to get overly aggressive in search of a knockout.
Instead, he intends to box and move and steal the rounds on the scorecards through his workrate, while pushing Klitschko hard in the middle rounds in particular.
But, for a relatively small heavyweight, speed is not Chisora’s strong point, both in terms of his footwork and his hands, while he has failed to previously show that he has the type of stamina to keep working at a high pace for 12 rounds.
Klitschko effectively has Chisora check-mated in all departments and 1/4 looks the simple call that the champion defends his belt by KO.