Meaningful Vote deal rejection most likely outcome

The Meaningful Vote deal is likely to get rejected by Parliament with odds currently sitting at 1/4, according to our traders.

With Parliament not approving the deal seemingly the most likely outcome, 11/4 says the deal will be approved.

Elsewhere, we could be heading for another EU Referendum before the turn of the year with odds as low as 5/2, though 2/7 says it won’t happen before the end of 2019.

If a Referendum does happen is pushed through, our traders say 5/1 sees the UK vote to remain in the European Union, with the uncertainty over the exit deal changing the public’s perception of the benefits.

Alex Apati of Ladbrokes said: “All signs point towards the Meaningful Vote not being approved by Parliament.”

Ladbrokes Latest Betting

Next Meaningful Vote

Deal NOT Approved – 1/4

Deal Approved – 11/4

MPs Voting FOR Withdrawal Agreement

Under 200 – 20/1

200-249 – 9/4

250-299 – 5/4

Another UK EU Referendum before end of 2019 – 5/2

2019 UK Referendum and UK votes REMAIN – 5/1

NO UK EU Referendum before end of 2019 – 2/7

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All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.