ICYMI: Odds-on that there’s no Scottish IndyRef2 in next decade
Published:
Nicola Sturgeon’s latest announcement means it’s now odds-on that there will be no second Scottish independence referendum before the end of 2020, according to the latest update.
The First Minister told Holyrood yesterday that she’s putting her plans for another vote on hold, prompting our political traders to react.
We now make it 4/6 that indyref2 does not happen before 2021 and have decided that ‘No’ to independence is favourite to win the next vote, at 4/5, whenever that takes place.
Meanwhile, Ruth Davidson has become as short as 3/1 to succeed Sturgeon as First Minister, following the Scottish Tories’ impressive showing at the recent General Election.
Matthew Shaddick of Ladbrokes said: “It looks like the First Minister doesn’t fancy gambling on the Scots voting YES any time soon.”
Ladbrokes latest betting:
Year of next indyref
2017 – 100/1
2018 – 25/1
2019 – 5/1
2020 – 3/1
Not before end 2020 – 4/6
Result of next indyref
No – 4/5
Yes – Evens
Next First Minister (to succeed Nicola Sturgeon)
Ruth Davidson – 3/1
Kezia Dugdale – 8/1
Shona Robertson – 10/1
Stewart Hosie – 10/1
John Swinney – 12/1
Angus Robertson – 12/1
Alex Salmond – 20/1
Peter Murrell – 33/1
Keep checking back for the latest updates from our political betting team as this story develops.
And click here for the latest Politics odds.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing
