Back Haas man for points as Hamilton looks banker for Monza win
You are not going to get rich quickly by backing 2/7 favourites, but it is almost impossible to predict anything other than a Lewis Hamilton victory at the Italian Grand Prix.
Hamilton finished as good as 0.5 seconds ahead of Mercedes teammate Nico Rosberg at Monza, with the Ferrari of Sebastian Vettel a further 0.3 seconds adrift in third on the grid.
This means that Hamilton matches the record of Juan Manuel Fangio and Ayrton Senna in having started from pole five times in Italy and this was despite the Brit and Rosberg saving their quickest supersoft tyres during qualifying.
The gap to Ferrari was additionally surprising given that the Italian team used their last engine development tokens of the season ahead of this race, meaning they benefited from power unit upgrades including a new internal combustion engine and new turbocharger.
However, the Ferrari engines of Vettel and Kimi Raikkonen are still clearly the second best on the grid and so it looks a shoot-out between the pair to see who will occupy the final position on the Monza podium.
Raikkonen may offer some value at 11/8 to secure a podium finish, with Vettel much shorter at 4/9.
Further down the grid, the Haas team reached Q3 for the first time, with Esteban Gutierrez starting from 10th spot for the US team. Teammate Romain Grosjean was 12th quickest, but has been hit by a five-place grid penalty for taking a new gearbox.
With the Monza circuit one of the quickest on the F1 calendar and largely incorporating only six corners on a single lap, cars with good straight-line speed should profit.
Haas duo Gutierrez and Grosjean have benefited from the same power updates as Ferrari, while Sauber, who also run with a Ferrari engine, haven’t as the required parts are not yet available to them.
Gutierrez has already finished 11th on four occasions this season, while Grosjean has been in the points in four races.
This is Mexican’s best chance of collecting his first points of the campaign and 1/1 looks decent value that he finishes in the top 10.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.