The NAP, Next Best and Lively Longshot on York’s Ebor undercard
It’s the final day of York’s Ebor Festival, with the meeting’s namesake handicap set to attract most attention on the Knavesmire, but there’s plenty going on outside that 1m6f handicap.
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Here’s our last three tips of the 2016 renewal:
Only one of the past five winners of the 5f Julia Graves Roses Stakes has come in at more than 4/1, and just three in this field are priced shorter at 7/1 on the tissue by the Racing Post.
Hugo Palmer’s Afandem is the one runner in the field carrying 9-3, having won the Listed Prix Des Reves D’Or last time out, but every horse to have taken this over the past decade carried 8-9 or 9-0, as the other seven runners are set to.
Of the other two fancied runners, the preference is for Mark Johnston’s Sutter County, as Charlie Appleby’s Final Reckoning has lost on the two occasions William Buick took the ride, winning twice without the Norwegian in the saddle, as he does here.
Andrew Balding’s gelding is a class act, winning 11 of his 37 races under rules and making the first three in a further nine.
Tullius may seem a little long in the tooth at eight-years-old, but City Style took this Group 3 at just a year younger in 2013, and six of this 10-runner field are aged seven or older.
After landing a similar-quality race the day before the Derby at Epsom, where he had 2014 Strensall Stakes winner Custom Cut behind him, Balding’s veteran is worth a wager.
Trainer Richard Fahey has already had two winners at this meeting, The Wagon Wheel on Wednesday and Queen Kindly on Thursday, the former with jockey Patrick Mathers on board.
Mathers teams up with the Yorkshire handler again here, taking the ride of bottom weight Theos Jolly, a winner twice in his past four starts.
The three-year-old is set to carry 8-6, with this Melrose Stakes Handicap landed by outsiders lugging around 8-7 for the past two years, so Fahey’s runner can’t be ruled out at a big price.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.