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French Open Final: Muguruza has what it takes to defeat Serena

| 03.06.2016

Garbine Muguruza takes on the mighty Serena Williams in the Women’s 2016 French Open Final, and the young Spaniard has every chance of troubling the great American.

Muguruza has reached a Slam final before – losing to Serena at Wimbledon last year – but with another year on tour under her belt, the 22-year-old poses a much stronger threat this time around.

The Spaniard hasn’t lost a set since losing her first round opener, winning all of her last five matches in just two sets, including her semi-final win over the experienced Sam Stosur.

Williams may have won 6-4 6-4 over Muguruza at SW19 last summer, but the 34-year-old hasn’t enjoyed a perfect tournament, or a perfect year.

Injury disrupted most of Serena’s campaign, before bringing it together to win in Rome – the final tournament before heading to Paris.

And despite often producing her usual standard of untouchable tennis, Williams has come unstuck more than once at Roland Garros, suggesting Muguruza has a shot here.

The 21-time Grand Slam champion dropped the first set to Yulia Putintseva in the quarter-finals, before saving an opening-set point versus Kiki Bertens in the semis.

Serena is 8/15 favourite for that 22nd title, with her young opponent 6/4 to win the match, but there’s every chance it’s the outsider who could nab at least the opening set at 5/4 given Williams’ recent struggles.

Williams to lose the first set and win the match can be backed at 9/2, while a three-set encounter is 6/4.

If Williams brings her A-game, then there may be little Muguruza can do, but on recent evidence, that is deemed somewhat unlikely.

Having reached the semi-finals in Rome, and followed that run with a superb run to the showpiece in Paris, Muguruza has her best chance yet of defeating a far-from vintage Serena Williams.

It’s probably also worth mentioning that while Serena leads the head-to-head record 3-1, guess where Muguruza’s sole win came? Yep, on the clay in France in 2014.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Author

Richard Marsh

Richard loves his sport, especially if it involves the sound of tyres screaming around a race track. He's not fussy though and his '90s Premier League nostalgia and knowledge of team nicknames is tough to match.