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Louisa Johnson worth dabble in the next X Factor elimination market

| 20.11.2015

Not that we like to blow our own trumpet, but anyone that read our Spoiler Alert article last week would have been correctly informed that Max Stone would have left the X Factor in ninth place and that Monica Michael would have finished eighth.

According to our choice of categories, Louisa Johnson is considered the most likely to be the next act eliminated, with the 1/1 favourite to win the show rightly positioned as the outsider to finish in seventh spot at 50/1.

However, there are numerous reasons why this is more likely than the odds suggest.

First, as this other previous article indicates, is the dreadful record of younger female pre-live-show betting favourites. Not only do none ever win the X Factor, neither do they make it to the live final. The best finish among this category of contestant is fifth spot.

Secondly, Louisa is not being given much in the way of variation, with her constant stream of ballads potentially giving voters reason to believe that she is a bit of a one-trick pony.

All of her performances so far have been similar and Let It Go by James Bay threatens to be a slowed-down number again. Furthermore, Rita Ora’s other remaining female Lauren Murray has already sung Hold Back The River, which is arguably Bay’s most well-known song.

This is not the only development which hints that Lauren has now overhauled Louisa as the act that is the show’s most preferred winner.

Nick Grimshaw has stated in his reactions to performances that Lauren is his favourite girl in the competition, while she also comes across with a warmer and more relatable personality.

All voters really learn from Louisa is that she is in the competition to win it and this competitive nature won’t be seen as a positive by everyone.

The positive for Louisa is that she is unlikely to be sent home in a sing-off against anyone left in the competition, but with another double elimination needed to cut the acts quickly enough ahead of the live show, if she finishes bottom of the vote, the judges won’t be able to help.

If Louisa is given a spot fairly early on in the live show running order too, this is another factor that will increase her prospects of finishing bottom of the vote.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.



Craig Kemp

Craig has written for Ladbrokes since the 2010 World Cup, having previously gained a Media & Sports Journalism degree and contributed to publications including the Racing Post. His main areas of interest are horse racing and UFC, but he is also an avid X Factor gambler and likes nothing more than indulging in a spot of Hip Hop Karaoke.