King of Stats: You’re Fired ticks the Betfred Mile boxes

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The King of Stats has his Glorious Goodwood eye in after hitting the crossbar two days running and is all the more determined to bring his numerical knowledge to bear upon the Betfred Mile as a result.

Taws and Trip To Paris have been silver-medal selections over the past two afternoons on the South Downs

Karl Burke’s 14/1 shot You’re Fired is the selection to go one better in the 15:10.

Here’s why…

The history books are clear on the fact that veterans are first to be obliterated from the reckoning, with the last 13 winners all under the age of seven.

At this point we part company with four of the 20 entrants, The Rectifier, Living Spirit, Two For Two and Belgian Bill.

Magic City is next to fall by the wayside as all bar one of the last 13 to take the laurels had raced at least three times already that season.

The same quantity of the aforementioned sample had won over at least a mile prior to the contest, unlike Lincoln.

Ten of those to triumph across the last 13 renewals had tasted success on at least three occasions prior to victory.

Munaaser bites the dust at this juncture having taken the spoils only twice in an 11-race career to date.

Perplexingly 13 runners remain after four rounds of enquiry, but no fewer than 11 fall foul of the weight trends, leaving only You’re Fired and Donncha.

Nine of the last 13 to breast the tape first carried 8st 13lbs or less.

The latter, a 10/1 shot, might well be plenty of punters’ cup of tea as past course scorer coming off a close third in the International Stakes heritage handicap last time out.

Yet, oddly enough, previous experience of the undulating Goodwood track has been a negative historically, with nine of the last 13 winners having never raced there before.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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