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Patriots @ Chiefs: Visitors’ struggles with the ball to continue

| 29.09.2014

For a team that leads their division, the New England Patriots are particularly out of sorts. Despite their 2-1 record, Bill Belichick’s side are far from the offensive force that has graced the league in the last 10 years, and will travel to Kansas City to face the 1-2 Chiefs looking to get back in their groove.

As the game rounds off week four of the season, we take a look at three of the best bets for the encounter:

New England Patriots to score under 2.5 touchdowns @ 11/8

Tom Brady’s stuttering offensive unit has already failed to pass 300-total yards in two of their first three games this season, having had that dishonour only four times in the entirety of 2013.

As a result, the Pats have the fewest number of passing touchdowns in the league, with three, can only boast of two more scores when running the football and have none from the defensive unit.

Against a middle-of-the pack defensive unit like the Chiefs, expect them to be held to rare endzone trips.

Rob Gronkowski to score New England’s first TD @ 7/2

If Brady does toss the ball for a score in Kansas City, the veteran tight end is most likely to be his intended target.

Gronkowski has caught two of the three scores Brady has thrown this season and is now heavily relied upon to carry much of the workload on offense, despite easing back from knee surgery.

Kansas City Chiefs to win @ 5/4

With the Pats struggling with the ball, it’s the hosts who should be taken to cause an upset; even though their home record against New England is favourable.

The Arrowheads have won four of the last five home ties against the Patriots and have a reliable quarterback in Alex Smith (whose completed pass percentage and yardage is better than Brady’s this term) to get them a second win of the season.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Matt Wiggins

No idyllic sound comes close to leather on willow for Matt, whose previous experience includes stints with Spin Magazine and Surrey County Cricket Club. It's not just cricket that interests him though, with football, golf, tennis and any American sport not played on ice all high on his list of favourites.