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Bet on Andrea now for elimination before her odds take a Tumble

| 14.08.2014

We already have Dancing On Ice and Splash. Now we have the first series of Tumble. Don’t be surprised to see another show emerge in the next 12 months titled Foiled, with celebrities trying their hand at the sporting event of fencing.

The appearances of Carl Froch and Girls Aloud’s Sarah Harding bring some added credibility to the gymnastics programme Tumble and the first episode largely mirrored similar BBC show Dancing On Ice, where no celebrity is eliminated in the opening week as they continue to improve.

John Partridge is the early favourite for victory and can be backed at a top price of 7/4 with Ladbrokes.

The former EastEnders actor does have a performing arts background and even trained at the Royal Ballet School, making it little surprise that he topped the scoreboard in the opening week.

However, with Ladbrokes being the only bookmaker to price up the first elimination market, this is where our interest lies and Dancing On Ice could prove a good guide to passing judgement, as both shows will attract similar audiences.

Interestingly, the first elimination from the last three series of the skating show involved celebs from the top four of the leaderboard.

This suggests one of two things –

a) Viewers vote for their favourites regardless of ability and so it is those with smaller fanbases that are eliminated.

b) Voters have multiple favourites and they call for those towards the foot of the leaderboard as these are deemed most in need of assistance.

Presenters have an especially poor record with Andy Akinwolere and Angela Rippon both early eliminations from Dancing On Ice.

This is bad news for Andrea McClean and she is a worthy 6/4 favourite for first elimination, having finished week one in the centre of the Tumble leaderboard.

Lucy Mecklenburgh is the better-priced alternative at 5/2, based on Lauren Goodger’s lack of Dancing On Ice success. It may not be the TOWIE community that watch BBC reality shows.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Alex Fortune