Battleground London: Labour set to gain 6 seats in 2015
Ladbrokes now have general election odds on all 73 seats in London.
Based on our prices, we’re expecting six Labour gains to be the only seats changing hands in the capital:
|Winner 2010||Maj %||Prediction|
|Brentford and Isleworth||Conservative||3.6||LAB GAIN|
|Enfield North||Conservative||3.8||LAB GAIN|
|Croydon Central||Conservative||6.0||LAB GAIN|
|Brent Central||Lib-Dem||3.0||LAB GAIN|
|Hornsey and Wood Green||Lib-Dem||12.5||LAB GAIN|
In addition, we currently have one seat as “too close to call”; Ealing Central & Acton, where we’ve got the Tories and Labour at 10/11 joint favourites.
So, the Lib Dems are still favourites to hold on to their four SW London seats from Tory challenges and we have Simon Hughes still odds-on to retain Bermondsey & Old Southwark, although that is certainly one that Labour seem to fancy.
Unsurprisingly, UKIP aren’t given much hope of winning any seats here. According to Ladbrokes’ odds, their best chance is Dagenham and Rainham at 16/1.
So the odds suggest the following seat totals (and changes from 2010):
- Lab 44 (+6)
- Cons 24 (-4)
- LD 5 (-2)