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Battleground London: Labour set to gain 6 seats in 2015

| 05.07.2014

<> on November 4, 2009 in London, England.

Ladbrokes now have general election odds on all 73 seats in London.

Based on our prices, we’re expecting six Labour gains to be the only seats changing hands in the capital:

Winner 2010 Maj % Prediction
Hendon Conservative 0.2 LAB GAIN
Brentford and Isleworth Conservative 3.6 LAB GAIN
Enfield North Conservative 3.8 LAB GAIN
Croydon Central Conservative 6.0 LAB GAIN
Brent Central Lib-Dem 3.0 LAB GAIN
Hornsey and Wood Green Lib-Dem 12.5 LAB GAIN

In addition, we currently have one seat as “too close to call”; Ealing Central & Acton, where we’ve got the Tories and Labour at 10/11 joint favourites.

So, the Lib Dems are still favourites to hold on to their four SW London seats from Tory challenges and we have Simon Hughes still odds-on to retain Bermondsey & Old Southwark, although that is certainly one that Labour seem to fancy.

Unsurprisingly, UKIP aren’t given much hope of winning any seats here. According to Ladbrokes’ odds, their best chance is Dagenham and Rainham at 16/1.

So the odds suggest the following seat totals (and changes from 2010):

  • Lab 44 (+6)
  • Cons 24 (-4)
  • LD 5 (-2)
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Author

Matthew Shaddick

Matthew Shaddick has been Head of Poliical Betting at Ladbrokes since 2008. He's a writer and odds-maker with particular expertise in UK and US elections.
Also known to dabble in music, literary and other out of the way betting markets. Sometimes issues tips on horse racing and football, which are best ignored.