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League One play-offs: The 3 best bets for Orient v Rotherham

| 24.05.2014

It’s the turn of the third tier of English football to showcase their scrappy insurgents in the League One play-off final, and we’ve dug down deep into the Wembley archives to bring you a trio of award-winning tips for Leyton Orient’s clash with Rotherham:

Moses Odubajo to score the first goal @ 12/1

Defenders have scored two of the last six League One play-off final openers, and we need look no further than Orient’s young wing-back for a likely candidate.

There’s been rumours that the Greenwich native is in line for a call-up to the England youth setup after posting a meaty total of 10 goals in League One this term.

Odubajo also scored the all-important equaliser in the first leg of their semi-final win over Peterborough and looks a solid bet to break the deadlock on what will already be the 20-year-old’s 94th O’s appearance.

Under 2.5 goals in the match @ 17/20

Over the past 10 League One play-off finals, the goals split has been dead even, which presumably accounts for the 17/20 price applying to both over and under 2.5 at Wembley.

However, during the past six seasons overs and unders have uniformly alternated, so with last term’s three following zero in 2011/12, erring on the side of defences seems to be where the trends point.

No first-half goals @ 19/10

The recent history of this fixture suggests supporters were fighting to get out for a half-time pie, having seen little of note beforehand.

Yeovil scored two pre-break goals last year, which were the first in a League One play-off final for three years and represent a third of the entire total since 2007.

Four of the last 10 have seen goalless first-halves, suggesting there’s value to be had on the same again at just under 2/1.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Alex Fortune