Man City v Fulham: Three odds-against bets that scream profit
Rewind six years and Fulham were heading to Manchester City for a Premier League game in a vastly similar position to they are now.
In fact, Fulham arguably looked even more doomed then, stuck on 27 points with only three games remaining. But, a 3-2 victory at the City of Manchester Stadium started a run of three straight victories that ensured their top-flight survival on goal difference.
Another success isn’t quite the necessity this time at Man City, but a defeat could leave them six points from safety with only eight games remaining.
Fulham’s odds are 14/1 to beat Man City and 100/1 to repeat that 3-2 victory. However, these are far from the most enticing odds-against bets for the Etihad clash, with the three below looking far more likely to generate a profit.
Fulham’s 65 goals conceded is 13 more than any other Premier League club, but of late they have remained fairly tight in the opening period of matches.
In fact, in their last nine league outings, only Daniel Sturridge and Steven Caulker have breached them in the first half, while they have conceded 17 second-half goals across the same nine matches.
Meanwhile, first-half clean sheets have been secured in this time frame in visits to both Arsenal and Manchester United.
This bet largely follows on from the previous point, in highlighting the difficulty Fulham have when they start to tire.
In seven of their last nine league games Fulham have conceded at least twice after the interval, while Man City have scored more goals after the break (40) than any other Premier League team this campaign.
Three straight Premier League clean sheets suggest Man City have started to tighten up defensively, but they are without the suspended Vincent Kompany here.
Meanwhile, both teams had scored in five successive Fulham fixtures, prior to their latest 1-0 triumph over a largely toothless Newcastle side that have drawn blanks in five of their last seven games.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.
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