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QPR goal struggles against top teams to continue against Reading

| 16.02.2014

The push to punch a Premier League payday for the sides at the upper echelons of the Championship is becoming fiercer by the game and for QPR and Reading, a returning to winning ways is imperative when they meet at Loftus Road.

QPR suffered at the hands of fellow promotion-chasing Derby last time out and are now four points off the second automatic spot with two games in hand. Reading, who hold on to the final playoff spot by just a single point, dropped all three points at home to Sheffield Wednesday.

Overall form over the past six games shows there is little to separate them, with Harry Redknapp’s haul of 13 points in that time edging out Nigel Adkins’ 12 and as such, the match betting market gives little away, with the hosts at 1/1 to win, the draw at 12/5 and an away win 11/4.

However, there have been trends over the course of the season, especially with QPR, that lend themselves to flutters elsewhere.

The most prominent involves Rangers goals, or rather a lack of them, against top half teams. They have managed just 13 in total against the sides above the fold in 14 attempts and are priced at 11/4 to score under 0.5 against the Royals and 8/13 to tally under 1.5.

Another trend surrounds the correct score market. At Loftus Road, QPR have had an affinity with a particular score recently. Three of their last four games, and five in total, have ended 2-1 in their favour and it’s 9/1 to be the case again.

As for Reading, they’ve had no problem finding the net in recent matches both home and away, scoring no less than two in any of their last five games, scoring an impressive 19 in that time. They are therefore a huge 9/1 to break through the 2.5-goal barrier for a sixth straight game.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Matt Wiggins

No idyllic sound comes close to leather on willow for Matt, whose previous experience includes stints with Spin Magazine and Surrey County Cricket Club. It's not just cricket that interests him though, with football, golf, tennis and any American sport not played on ice all high on his list of favourites.