Arsenal v Tottenham: Oliver booking screams draw
Mark Clattenburg may fill the top spot of Tottenham’s most intolerable referees for his two counts of iffy officiating at Old Trafford, firstly for failing to award Pedro Mendes’ goal that was only just over the line and then allowing Nani to tap into an empty net when Spurs thought they had been given a free-kick.
Therefore, they may be some initial relief that Michael Oliver will be the man in the middle for the north London derby and then some even greater optimism knowing that Arsenal have only triumphed twice in six games that he has officiated.
However, Spurs’ record with Oliver as the referee is not much better with three wins in seven, while they lost both that he officiated in the last campaign.
Like this game against Arsenal, both of these matches were away to other clubs with Champions League aspirations; a 2-1 defeat at Manchester City and then a 3-2 reverse at Liverpool.
At least Arsenal’s sole win was at the Emirates in a 3-0 victory over West Brom.
Taking everything into consideration, Oliver’s appointment may suggest that the draw looks the most likely result at the Emirates and this can be backed at 13/5.
Alternatively, Arsenal are favourites with their home advantage at 11/10, with Tottenham available at 11/5.
Better news for Arsenal supporters is that they have netted the first goal in each of the last four matches in which they have been refereed by Oliver and all of these strikes have arrived in the first half.
It is 7/10 that Arsenal opening the scoring again against Tottenham and 4/6 that their first goal arrives before the half-time interval.
The one flaw to this bet is that Tottenham have started their Premier League campaign with consecutive clean sheets, although they have let in five on each of their last two visits to the Emirates.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.
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