Tsonga v Ferrer: Frenchman has weapons to reach home final
Much will depend on whether Jo-Wilfried Tsonga can keep his emotions in check, but should he keep control of himself in his French Open last-four clash with David Ferrer, he has the attacking game to progress to the final.
This is a major opportunity for both players to win a Grand Slam for the first time, as so far in their careers they have reached 10 semi finals between them but won only once, which was when Tsonga was beaten by Novak Djokovic in the 2008 Australian Open final.
Tsonga has a clear power edge here in terms of both his serve and his ground strokes and is the 6/5 underdog to become the first home French Open finalist since Henri Leconte in 1988.
Ferrer is favourite at 4/6 and not only is he the more proven of the two on clay, but has also won three of his four career meetings with Tsonga.
If Ferrer is to triumph, his counter-punching style will have to be on top form and he will need to hope that his ability to keep running down seeming lost causes will increase Tsonga’s unforced error count.
Given that the Spaniard is the shorter of the pair to win the match, there is also some added value on Tsonga in some of the handicap markets.
This match could easily go to five sets or at least a close four sets and if it does, 1/2 would not be the worst price that Tsonga comes through if benefitting from a handicap of 4.5 games.
Another potentially profitable market is the total number of breaks of serve that will feature in the match.
Despite both matches being over in three sets, Tsonga’s quarter-final victory over Roger Federer saw eight breaks of serve, while Ferrer’s victory over fellow Spaniard Feliciano Lopez in round three had 10.
This match is highly likely to go to a minimum of four sets and so the 5/6 on offer for over 7.5 breaks of serve may has some money-making potential.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.