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Millwall v Wigan: Latics to progress with narrow triumph

| 01.04.2013

As Millwall meet Wigan at Wembley with an FA Cup final berth the winner’s reward, the Premier League outfit are unsurprisingly afforded 4/5 favouritism to triumph in 90 minutes.

2004 finalists Millwall have won four of their past six FA Cup bouts on neutral ground however, which may lead some to take the 10/3 that they once again reach the final by means of victory in normal time.

And the draw is priced at 13/5, with the Lions, playing this fixture as the home side, 7/4 to qualify by any means, and the Latics 2/5 to make their first ever FA Cup final.

However, it should be considered that Roberto Martinez’ men, who have conceded only twice throughout this tournament, have won each of the past two encounters between this pairing via a 2-0 scoreline.

13/2 is the price that this result again prevails in the Latics’ favour, whilst investment in a clean sheet for the ‘away’ side should also be considered.

In addition to their strong defensive record in this competition this term, Wigan have also failed to concede in their last three outings opposing Millwall, and in six of the last eight encounters of the pair.

Thus, backing Wigan to hold firm at 13/10 appears a sensible move, whilst there is also appeal to be found in the 37/20 that the Latics triumph without conceding.

And in keeping with the notion that Wigan will be difficult to break down, backing a low-scoring triumph for Martinez’ side is a tempting proposition.

It is 3/1 that the Latics emerge triumphant from a match involving less than 2.5 strikes, and such a bet would have paid off in each of Wigan’s last five victories at the Lions’ expense.

Meanwhile, punters looking to place a first scorer bet could do worse than invest in 9/2 Wigan striker Arouna Kone.

The Ivorian international has been in sensational recent form for the DW Stadium outfit, bagging six goals in his past seven appearances, two of which came in this competition.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Author

John Klee