England wobble makes them value in Six Nations handicap betting
Having won their previous four Six Nations matches of the campaign, England maintain heavy 2/9 favouritism to be crowned champions in the aftermath of their upcoming clash with Wales.
But for greater value, betting on England to simply win that game looks a better call, considering any form of Three Lions triumph would see them claim the title.
Although hugely unimpressive in eventually conquering Italy 18-11 in their most recent outing, England did show tremendous character to keep their Grand Slam hopes alive.
Winning without playing well is the sign of a good team, and with Stuart Lancaster certain to demand more from his side next time out, England can round off a 100 per cent tournament record in Wales.
It is 4/6 that Lancaster’s charges are successful at the Millennium Stadium, but even better value can be found in backing the visitors in handicap markets on the match.
The travelling side would have overcome a three-point handicap in all four of their tournament victories this season, making them look good 10/11 calls to achieve that again on Welsh soil.
As aforementioned, any form of win would see England achieve a first Grand Slam in a decade, but the fact that they could afford to be beaten by a specific margin and still land the Six Nations crown will encourage Welsh backers.
Wales are 5/4 to simply win the match, but would need to triumph by seven points if they are to retain their Six Nations championship.
It is 11/4 that the hosts overcome a theoretical six-point disadvantage to do so, but it looks wiser to opt for the visitors to make light of the same hindrance.
England’s most narrow success in this year’s competition came by a six-point gap, meaning patriotic punters would have been rewarded three out of four times backing this outcome.
They are 11/8 to once again prevail giving up a six-point head-start, and that looks a price well worthy of investment.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.