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Luton v Millwall: Giant killers could progress again

| 16.02.2013

Luton welcome Millwall to Kenilworth Road in an FA Cup fifth round tie, buoyed by wins over Wolves and Norwich to reach this stage of the competition.

Paul Buckle’s men are 3/1 to win in 90 minutes here too, and it may be at punters’ peril that they back against the Blue Square Bet Premier League side.

The Hatters have been strong at home in all competitions this season, losing on just three occasions. And seven wins from their last eight on their own turf suggests they are worth a chance at that big 3/1.

Alternatively, correct score markets could provide value, with a 1-0 home win priced at 10/1.

Buckle’s charges have been victorious by this scoreline on each of the two occasions they have faced higher league opposition this term.

Punters feeling a replay will be necessary after this tie can alternatively back the draw at 12/5, an outcome which appears plausible considering stalemates occurred the last two times these teams met.

And those wishing to side with the visitors, who themselves have conquered Premier League opposition in Aston Villa to reach this stage, can have 10/11 about a Lions success.

Their dismal league form of late may be enough to deter many a punter from this price though, with Kenny Jackett’s men losing their last four in succession.

They have failed to score in three of those games too, lending yet more weight to the notion that the wisest bet could be on a narrow home win.

Those reluctant to bet on the scoreline though could instead opt to invest in the possibility of a Hatters win in which under 2.5 goals occur, at lengthy 7/1 odds.

It is 21/5 simply for one goal to be scored in the match, whilst 6/1 odds regarding a Luton win in which their defence isn’t breached look tempting.

Potential first scorers for the hosts are very easy to back meanwhile, with fourth-round hero Scott Rendell 8/1 to break the deadlock in this tie.

Midfielder Alex Lawless, who proved the match-winner when Wolves visited Kenilworth Road, is a massive 18/1 to open the scoring.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.



John Klee