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King of Stats: all the numbers for the Capital One Cup final

| 22.02.2013

Given the four divisions between Swansea and Bradford, many punters are likely to settle for the 2/5 on the Premier League club making their gulf in class count in the Capital One Cup final.

However, the King of Stats has attempted to locate some more profitable betting opportunities that offer a greater chance of bigger paydays.

10 – In ten of the last 13 finals, both teams have been on target in the 90 minutes, alongside each of the last three that did not include a Premier League team. It is 1/1 that both Bradford and Swansea score at Wembley this time.

15 – Swansea and Bradford have played 13 fixtures between them in the competition this season, with 15 goals scored in the last 15 minutes of these games. 10 separate games have also seen a goal scored in this 15-minute spell. 9/10 is the price that a goal is converted in the final between the 75th minute and final whistle.

4 – In four of the last five finals, the team playing as the away side have won the second half. The only exception came in 2009 when Man Utd’s clash with Tottenham finished 0-0 after 90 minutes. Swansea are considered the away side this time and are 4/6 to score more than Bradford in the second period.

5 – Following on from this, the team billed as the away team have not conceded a second-half goal in five Capital One Cup finals, dating back to Didier Drogba scoring against Arsenal in 2007. Swansea are 4/9 to keep a clean sheet in the second 45 minutes with Bradford and 1/1 to win to nil this period.

5 – Over 3.5 goals have been scored on average in the competition this season, although there has never been more than five goals scored in a League Cup final. With Bradford capable of netting at least one, there may be some mileage in the 18/1 on offer for a 4-1 Swansea success.

6 – Alternatively, six of the last 13 finals have been won 2-1 by the team theoretically playing at home. A 2-1 Bradford victory this time can be backed at 20/1. This is also the most common result in this season’s competition.

0 – There has never been a hat-trick scored in a League Cup final, but this is what Michu requires to top the scoring charts in the competition alongside Theo Walcott. Michu is 20/1 to score at least three against Bradford and more tempting 1/1 to strike at any time in a Swansea victory.

4 – Kevin Friend is the man in the middle at Wembley and he has issued no more than four yellow cards in his last seven games. Therefore, few bookings should be expected in the final.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.



Craig Kemp

Craig has written for Ladbrokes since the 2010 World Cup, having previously gained a Media & Sports Journalism degree and contributed to publications including the Racing Post. His main areas of interest are horse racing and UFC, but he is also an avid X Factor gambler and likes nothing more than indulging in a spot of Hip Hop Karaoke.