Ward to win by unanimous decision in fight destined for points
Many punters believe that Andre Ward does not hold a significant advantage against Chad Dawson and therefore 2/7 is not a great price that he retains his unbeaten record.
However, the 4/6 that Ward prevails by unanimous decision may be more in the desired price range to tempt a few extra bets.
It is fair to say that Ward has been campaigning at the highest level for much of the last three years, winning four fights to take the Super Six super-middleweight competition and then beating Carl Froch.
But, the truth remains that he is more of a stylish technician than a hard hitter, with only two of his last eight victories coming inside the distance.
The other six have all gone in his favour by unanimous decision.
Meanwhile, all of Ward’s fights have gone the distance have all been given to him through unanimous decision after impressing the judges.
If there is one certainty in the super-middleweight encounter it is that the three ringside judges will be required to name the winner.
There is good reason why the fight is 1/6 to go the distance, with Dawson being no more of a KO expert.
Seven of his last eight bouts have survived the 12 rounds, with the exception being the controversial no contest with Bernard Hopkins.
If managing to keep his own head and Ward at distance, it is not a total longshot that he can secure a slightly unexpected victory.
With Dawson unlikely to knock Ward out, the 9/2 that Dawson wins on points appeals far more than 11/4 that he simply sees his arm raised.
Furthermore, 33/1 may not prove the most ludicrous price that Dawson gets the vote by majority decision, given that the fight is expected to be close in some quarters.
Yet we cannot see beyond a Ward victory and have offered our leading reasons why we believe he will win in a past story here.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.