So You Think can be sidestepped in Dubai World Cup
So You Think is now just 9/4 to win the Dubai World Cup after securing an optimum draw in stall four, but there is a strong possibility that he will find one too good and this horse is liable to prove to be Smart Falcon.
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has always remained positive on the chances of So You Think, but it is hard to truly gauge how well he will deal with the surface in Meydan.
Although, the race does not take place on the dirt that seemingly failed to suit his action in the Breeders’ Cup Classic last year, the Tapeta synthetic surface is another trip into the unknown.
Meanwhile, other factors not in his favour are the past record of British and Irish-trained horses in races in the UAE and the fact that all of the last ten Dubai World Cup winners had finished first or second on their previous start.
Therefore, So You Think is worth opposing at the prices and preference is for the second favourite Smart Falcon at 9/2.
Smart Falcon only knows one way to race and this is gung ho from the gate, but he is difficult to pass in the closing stages, which is proved by the fact that he has triumphed on his last nine starts.
Being from Japan, the horse will also be better acclimatised than most to local conditions and temperatures and is another to have gained a profitable draw in stall five.
Given that the last three winners have all been sent off at a double-figure price, there is a case that punters should look to scout out some each-way value.
Capponi is one horse worthy of consideration, given his victory in round three of the Maktoum Challenge.
This race has thrown up three of the last ten Dubai World Cup winners and he can be backed at 16/1, although he will have to do so from an unfavoured wide draw.