Murray has perfect chance to beat Nadal and set up Djokovic final

Andy Murray may be the underdog heading into his Sony Ericsson Open semi final with Rafael Nadal, but 11/10 looks big value that he can beat the Spaniard in Miami.

Meanwhile, it is hard to predict much of a surprise in the other last-four encounter as despite Juan Monaco arguably playing the best tennis of his career at present, he is unlikely to have the weapons to beat Novak Djokovic.

Andy Murray to beat Rafael Nadal @ 11/10

Nadal has enjoyed the tournament in recent years having reached the final three times in seven years, but he was seriously troubled by an injured left knee in his quarter final success over Jo Wilfried Tsonga.

Meanwhile, despite never having beaten the world number two on any other surface, Murray has won five of his last eight meetings with Nadal on hard courts, including the latest in Tokyo towards the end of last year.

However, none of the last three meetings between the pair have been settled in straight sets and given Nadal’s battling qualities, Murray to triumph 2-1 at 10/3 may be the best option in the set betting market.

Any side bet worth paying attention of could be the 8/13 that there is no tie break in the match, given that this method was not required to settle a set in any of their five meetings in 2011.

Novak Djokovic v Juan Monaco: Over 18.5 games @ 4/6

Monaco has undoubtedly been the surprise package in Miami and has sprung three surprises already with victories over Gael Monfils, Andy Roddick and then Mardy Fish.

The latter of these was on his birthday and was particularly impressive given the high percentage of first serves that he completed.

Although, another upset is hard to predict against Djokovic, if he serves well again he can certainly make life difficult.

Meanwhile, Monaco is also talented from the baseline and if taking the approach to go for his shots, can take the game to a third set.

It is 4/1 that Djokovic beats Monaco 2-1 and a skinny 2/9 that he reaches the final in straight sets.