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Amelia’s X Factor future in doubt as the final closes in

| 29.11.2011

Misha B may be the odds-on favourite to be the unfortunate act not to make the final of the X Factor, but the smart money could well be on Amelia Lily being the next elimination.

It is understandable why Misha is 10/11 in the X Factor odds to be eliminated at the semi-final stage given that she was in the bottom two with Janet Devlin on the latest show.

However, there seems to be a common trend among voters that the same act does not make the bottom two in successive weeks, with this scenario sometimes referred to as the ‘bounce back’ vote.

Misha has been in the bottom two alternatively in three of the last six weeks and on each occasion has been kept in by the judges following the sing off, even though the voting results suggest she is clearly short of likeability.

It is currently unknown how the result of the semi finals will pan out, with some suggestions stating that there will once again be a sing off, while others feel that the act to finish bottom of the public vote will exit.

The judges evidently like Misha more than the public and even if she once again finds herself in the bottom two, she is likely to be saved.

This is particularly true if she is in the bottom two with Amelia, which is most likely given that Marcus Collins and Little Mix look destined to fill two spots in the final.

Also against Amelia is the aforementioned ‘bounce back’ vote, as she was saved when in the bottom two in the week previous.

Other things that may go against Amelia are that she sung last on the latest show, which logically suggests she will have an early slot in the semi final and it would be no surprise to see her open the show, which is the spot every act fears.

Furthermore, there is the chance that she will be viewed as safe already by some voters after she was announced as the first act safe in the quarter final.

There are certainly grounds that 11/8 is a big price in the X Factor betting that she fails to reach the final in what is effectively a two-horse race.



Craig Kemp

Craig has written for Ladbrokes since the 2010 World Cup, having previously gained a Media & Sports Journalism degree and contributed to publications including the Racing Post. His main areas of interest are horse racing and UFC, but he is also an avid X Factor gambler and likes nothing more than indulging in a spot of Hip Hop Karaoke.