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Braga vs Benfica – Home side to upset the Europa League odds

| 05.05.2011

14 Points may separate these two sides in the league but just one goal separated these two sides in the first leg and this Europa League tie is far from over.

Benfica lead Braga 2-1 from the first leg but Braga’s home form is impressive and just over eight weeks ago they registered a 2-1 win over Thursday night’s opponents.

Match Odds

With the one goal advantage Benfica are the 1/3 favourites to qualify from Thursday night’s tie but that seems a seriously short price and Braga offer plenty of value at 11/5 to qualify considering they have the away goal.

The two teams can’t be split in the 90 minutes betting with both teams available at 13/8 to win and the draw available at 23/10.

Braga have won four of their last six home matches with Benfica including the last two, and with five clean sheets in their last eight games it’s hard to get away from the fact that Braga are an incredible price to qualify

Total Goals

Braga have shut out Dynamo Kiev and Liverpool in their last two home Europa League games and Domingos Paciencia’s side are 21/10 to keep a clean sheet against Benfica.

It would take just a 1-0 win to see Braga progress into the Europa League final and it’s 6/1 that the game finishes 1-0 to Braga although the favoured result is 1-1 at 5/1.

When the two teams last met in the league at the start of March, goals from Hugo Viana and Marcio Mossoro handed Braga the 2-1 win and Mossoro is 7/1 to get the first goal on Thursday night.

Benfica have scored in their last 15 consecutive away games and Oscar Cardozo will prove a threat to the Braga defence.

But with a final on the line, and in front of their home support, that Braga defence can stand firm and provide the foundations for the victory.

A £10 stake on Braga beating Benfica 2-0 would return £110. Sign up here to take advantage of a free bet worth up to £30.

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Author

Robbie Morris

Robbie studied sports journalism at the University of Gloucestershire, an establishment chosen for its proximity to Cheltenham racecourse, where he was a season ticket holder. Upon graduation, Robbie was a contributor to GolfPunk, a national magazine aimed at ridding golf of its traditionalist image, before joining the news.ladbrokes team.