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Aston Villa vs Liverpool – Reds to get points needed for Europe spot

| 20.05.2011

The way Liverpool treated the Europa League this season it would be easy to think that finishing in fifth holds no incentive for Kenny Dalglish’s side.

But a fifth place finish would be a huge achievement after a poor start to the season and Tottenham Hotspur face a battle for the final Europa League spot with Liverpool set to pick up the three points at Villa Park.

Match Odds

Kenny Dalglish’s side are 11/8 to register a win on Sunday and Liverpool are unbeaten in their last seven final day games of the season.

The stats don’t stack up well for Villa fans, they’ve only won one of their last 18 league games with the Reds and on their home turf, the Villans haven’t beaten Liverpool since February 1998.

Backing Villa at 2/1 offers very little value and the optimistic Villa fans who still feel a top-10 spot is within reach look set to go home disappointed.

At 9/4 the draw is the only thing that can stop Liverpool winning this match but Dalglish’s side can continue marching on.

Total Goals

The good news for Villa fans is that they are likely to score, which makes the 4/1 for Liverpool to come from behind and win or draw an enticing bet.

Villa have scored at least once in 15 of their last 16 league games and average a goal a game on the final day of the Premier League season.

Darren Bent is surely the man to get Villa’s goal and is 9/2 to score first, while Dirk Kuyt looks like the man to fire Liverpool back into the tie and the Dutchman is 9/4 to score at any time.

A 1-1 scoreline is the favoured result at 11/2 but we fancy a 2-1 Liverpool win at 7/1 as the pick of the market.

A £10 stake on Bent scoring first but Liverpool winning 2-1 would return £510. New customers can sign up here to take advantage of a free bet worth up to £30.

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Author

Robbie Morris

Robbie studied sports journalism at the University of Gloucestershire, an establishment chosen for its proximity to Cheltenham racecourse, where he was a season ticket holder. Upon graduation, Robbie was a contributor to GolfPunk, a national magazine aimed at ridding golf of its traditionalist image, before joining the news.ladbrokes team.