QPR vs Derby – Game-raising Rams to pinch a point
Monday night’s Championship game pairs two clubs that are a few points away from a drama-free end to the campaign, with QPR closing in on the title and Derby within touching distance of securing survival.
QPR are unsurprisingly strong favourites at 1/2 having lost just five times all season and only once at home, however with Cardiff and Norwich’s wins denying them the chance to confirm promotion in this clash, an upset is a possibility.
The table-toppers were surprised by struggling Scunthorpe nine days earlier and were held 2-2 by the Rams at Pride Park in August, having to fight from behind in a result indicative of Nigel Clough’s side’s ability to trouble the top teams.
The Robbie Savage-captained midlanders completed a double over play-off hopefuls Leeds last week, avoided defeat in both encounters with Swansea and have lost by more than one goal to a top-six outfit only once in nine meetings.
That and an encouraging run of just two reverses in six on the road indicates that they are capable of scrapping for a point at Loftus Road at 3/1, while they can be backed to claim three at hefty odds of 11/2.
There were four goals the last time these teams collided, two coming in injury time, but under 2.5 goals may prove the shrewder punt at 5/6 having been a feature of over half of Derby’s away matches against top-half clubs.
QPR last beat them in the capital in the league in 1982-83 and six of the last 13 games between the two there have ended 1-1, including two of the last four, so that’s definitely a bet to consider at a massive 6/1.
A £30 stake on the 1-1 draw would provide a £180 profit. New customers can sign up here to take advantage of a free football bet worth up to £30.