Notts County vs Man City – Expect a game with few goals at 6/5
Manchester City needed two attempts to see off Leicester in the FA Cup third round and their reward was another potentially tricky trip to the east midlands to face Notts County…
Manchester City’s eight away victories over the last six months are more than they managed in the previous year and it’s therefore difficult to argue with odds of 2/5 on them booking their place in the fifth round by overcoming Notts County at Meadow Lane.
Paul Ince’s side produced a major upset in the third round by winning 2-1 at Sunderland but have failed to build on that result, their climb up the League One table being halted by a disappointing run of three games without success.
The Magpies do boast a six-match unbeaten run at home in the FA Cup, their last defeat coming in December 2007, so if you expect that to continue, the hosts are 7/1 to triumph with the draw available to back at 7/2.
Notts County though have only won one of the last 11 fixtures in which they’ve conceded, losing seven of them, and the chances of Manchester City failing to score are slim having scored six in their three hours with Leicester, so consider the half-time/full-time away win at 4/5.
Despite boasting a decent strikeforce in Lee Hughes and Craig Westcarr, Notts County aren’t too prolific, however they do boast one of League One’s better defensive records and, having kept clean sheets in half of their home league ties, a heavy scoreline is unlikely.
Under 2.5 goals is offered at a much bigger price than you might expect at 6/5, while the Magpies’ feat in leaking just five goals in their last ten games suggests that Manchester City by one goal at 11/4 and by two goals at 10/3 are worth pursuing in the win margin market.
The Citizens are 5/1 to win 2-0, so a £25 stake would provide a £125 profit. New customers can sign up here for a free £25 bet.