Brighton vs Notts County – Ince capable of away upset
Brighton may still be unbeaten at home in League One, but this record could be under serious threat as they host a Notts County side rejuvenated of late under Paul Ince.
Notts County have won their last three games in all competitions, including back-to-back victories in League One.
This form could make them overpriced at 7/2 to beat Brighton, particularly as Gus Poyet’s team are without a win in their last five league games.
Despite this barren streak, Brighton remain three points clear at the head of League One and are 4/5 to beat Notts County.
A positive for Brighton despite their recent troubles is that Notts County have not won on their travels since September, while they have also only won one of their last seven away games with Brighton.
In total Brighton are unbeaten in their last five meetings with Notts County and did the double over them in League One last season.
Notts County may have gone 14 league games without a draw, but their recent history with Brighton suggests that a high-scoring draw could take place.
Three of the last five meetings between the pair have ended 2-2 and another repeat is priced at 16/1 in the League One betting market.
However, with Notts County prone to concede goals on their travels, other potentially profitable bets could be that Brighton win either 3-1 or 3-2, which are valued at 10/1 and 25/1 respectively.
Craig Westcarr is Notts County’s top scorer this season and he may represent the best value in the betting odds market at 8/1, while teammate Lee Hughes is 11/2.
For the hosts, Ashley Barnes is 9/2 to open the scoring and help himself to his eighth league goal of the campaign.
A £10 bet on Hughes scoring first and the game finishing 2-2 could lead to a payout of £750. New Ladbrokes customers can sign up here for a free £10 bet.