The rebound vote is something that has a tendency to happen on the X Factor, which is when an act receives enough votes in the week directly following an appearance in the bottom two to ensure they are safe.
However, normal voting patterns tend to be resumed in the week after that, which often results in an act being back in the sing-off, two weeks after surviving one.
In fact, in the last four series of the X Factor, there have been 27 instances where an act could have found themselves in the bottom two in alternate weeks, profiting from the rebound vote in the live show in between.
And of these 27 instances, on 16 occasions, the act has been back in the bottom two after a week’s grace.
This is not the best news for Kingsland Road, who survived the sing-off on the second live show of X Factor 2013.
It could well have been the rebound vote that secured their safety in week three, but now there is a distinct possibility they will be back in the bottom two in week four.
What seems to happen is that voters have two or three favourites, but only vote on any given week for their outright favourite.
When another of their favourites then appears in the bottom two, in the following week, the voters change allegiances and vote for their favourite that is deemed to be the most in danger.
This act is then safe as numerous voters have adopted this policy (the rebound vote) and then the voters return to their previous voting technique in the following week, meaning that the bottom-two act are pretty unpopular again.
Kingsland Road are 6/5 to find themselves in the bottom two in week four, with 3/1 a fair price that they are in this position through finishing bottom in the Saturday Flash Vote, as they were in week two.
Their cause is not helped by the fact that Sam Callaghan is still in the X Factor, who is the main competition for the group’s target audience, while mentor Gary Barlow must try something different, as all three of their performances so far have been fairly alike.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.
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