Based on the X Factor betting, it is a three-way battle as to which of the remaining five acts fail to make the semi finals, with Luke Friend, Tamera Foster and Rough Copy all priced at 4/6 to be in the bottom two in week eight of the show.
However, value seekers certainly shouldn’t be put off Nicholas McDonald’s elimination chances, which does have some appeal at 14/1.
Of the remaining five acts, there is certainly an argument that Nicholas has the least commercial appeal and so there are other acts that show producers would preferably have in the final.
Meanwhile, the early reports indicated that it was Nicholas and Sam Bailey that were leading the public vote and it is unlikely that he would be the most favourable winner, considering the limited previous success of the likes of Leon Jackson and Joe McElderry.
Looking at the final five acts, Sam seems to be pretty much a banker for survival, Rough Copy are due a rebound vote after being saved in the sing-off in the last show and Tamera has continually been aided with late performance slots in recent weeks.
This leaves Luke, who is due to come down from a rebound vote in the last show, and Nicholas, meaning it is more than feasible that Louis Walsh will mentor both of the bottom two for the second time this series.
If this happened, Luke could be saved due to his greater commercial potential.
Taking the 14/1 that Nicholas is sent home in the semi final does look far superior value than the 3/1 on offer that he is simply in the bottom two.
Tamera is the favourite in the eighth elimination market at 6/4, with Luke available at 7/4 and Rough Copy at 3/1. Of this trio, Luke would seem the most likely to fail to progress to the semi finals.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.
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