The Safety Net – Soderling to secure the bank another £20

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Anyone who witnessed the Safety Net bet in action yesterday will have realised just why our 1/3 selection yesterday morning was backed into 1/9 at the off.

Galivant duly obliged the huge gamble at Chepstow yesterday and his 12-length victory over a poor field could have been even longer had Martin Dwyer not eased his ride heavily inside the final furlong.

With just two odds-on chances running over the five race cards today – both of them look beatable – we’re moving away from horse racing and back to tennis for today’s Safety Net bet.

Our Saftey Net bank sits at £175.50 following yesterday’s successful bet and today we’re looking to Robin Soderling to make us our £20 target.

Robin Soderling vs Philipp Petzschner

Soderling is the 2/9 favourite to beat German Perschner today, and the reason Soderling’s Wimbledon odds are short in comparison to say Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, a 1/50 to win his first round match, is because Petschner lost in the final at Halle last week.

Soderling arrives in Wimbledon having not played since losing to Rafael Nadal in the French Open, but last year’s Wimbledon quarter-finalist should be good enough to justify his favouritism today.

The Swede has made a first round exit at Wimbledon three times, but on two of those occasions he was the underdog and he hasn’t been beaten in the first round since 2006.

Since that 2006 defeat to Tim Henman, the only two people to defeat Soderling at Wimbledon are Nadal and Roger Federer, and the Swede is a very tough opponent on the grass courts.

Petzchner played his first Wimbledon tournament in 2008 and has won three of his eight matches at SW19, but the world number 67 has never faced anyone of Soderling’s quality in the first round and his Wimbledon will end early.

We’re staking £90 on Soderling to win £20

Current Status:
Bank: £175.50
Today’s stake: £90
Best case scenario: £195.50
Worst case scenario: £85.50

Last Safety Net bet: Galivant won the 18:30 at Chepstow at 1/3 (SP 1/9)

Wealth warning: although we are confident the safety net bet’s strategy will be profitable over a period of time, the nature of sport means we cannot guarantee you will win every single time.

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Robbie Morris

Robbie studied sports journalism at the University of Gloucestershire, an establishment chosen for its proximity to Cheltenham racecourse, where he was a season ticket holder. Upon graduation, Robbie was a contributor to GolfPunk, a national magazine aimed at ridding golf of its traditionalist image, before joining the news.ladbrokes team.