If Juan Martin del Potro was fully fit for his Wimbledon semi final with Novak Djokovic, then there would be the real possibility that he would beat the world number one, as he did in their only previous meeting on grass at last year’s Olympics.
However, going for the jugular on Del Potro at 9/2 to beat Djokovic has to be swerved with the Argentine soldiering on with a knee injury.
Painkillers may have got Del Potro through his quarter final with David Ferrer, but the best they are likely to do against Djokovic is allow him to win a set.
Both players are yet to drop a set in advancing to this stage and Del Potro has only had his serve broken twice.
Therefore, the 8/11 on offer that Del Potro wins at least one set in the match is tough to oppose.
The obvious problem with this bet is knowing the actual condition of his knee and it would be a shame if this bet failed because Del Potro was unable to complete the match.
It is 9/4 that Djokovic comes through 3-1 and this offers greater protection as a retirement in the match will deem the bet void.
Given that Djokovic lost in straight sets in the bronze medal clash at the Olympics and his last meeting with Del Potro this year at Indian Wells, backing him just to simply win the match has little appeal at 1/7.
The other market where some profit could be found is in the 8/15 that there is a tie-break in the match.
At least one tie-break has been witnessed in Del Potro’s last four matches to reach this stage, alongside in Djokovic’s last two.
However, it is unlikely to be in the first set, as no more than 10 games have been needed in the opening set in the last five meetings between these two.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.